Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.007094 0.007981 0.008950 0.010090 0.011398 0.012855 0.014605
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.005871 0.007118 0.008601 0.010506 0.012905 0.015845 0.019755
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004979 0.006332 0.008033 0.010348 0.013450 0.017509 0.023298
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004423 0.005846 0.007716 0.010386 0.014154 0.019363 0.027256
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003915 0.005342 0.007287 0.010176 0.014435 0.020608 0.030462
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003636 0.005108 0.007184 0.010384 0.015302 0.022757 0.035272
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003341 0.004815 0.006957 0.010368 0.015806 0.024389 0.039472
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002983 0.004391 0.006488 0.009922 0.015571 0.024798 0.041670
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002768 0.004161 0.006288 0.009868 0.015945 0.026227 0.045808
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002694 0.004141 0.006408 0.010338 0.017236 0.029355 0.053480
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002458 0.003842 0.006053 0.009973 0.017036 0.029812 0.056141
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002271 0.003607 0.005784 0.009727 0.017013 0.030579 0.059509
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002145 0.003468 0.005671 0.009761 0.017536 0.032497 0.065687
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002088 0.003444 0.005753 0.010157 0.018799 0.036045 0.076036
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001951 0.003267 0.005552 0.010005 0.018969 0.037395 0.081709
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001855 0.003156 0.005457 0.010042 0.019517 0.039604 0.089790
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001734 0.002991 0.005251 0.009840 0.019542 0.040672 0.095269
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001678 0.002938 0.005248 0.010040 0.020443 0.043815 0.106619
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001598 0.002837 0.005144 0.010025 0.020869 0.045921 0.115659
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001476 0.002647 0.004855 0.009596 0.020319 0.045632 0.118067
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001406 0.002553 0.004748 0.009543 0.020627 0.047478 0.126925
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001396 0.002574 0.004869 0.009995 0.022169 0.052647 0.146761
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001304 0.002425 0.004637 0.009645 0.021739 0.052652 0.150723